3) Projet de Bachelor

Time series on discharge rate series (France) 

Projet de dernière année du bachelor réalisé en mai 2003 pour la société BETURE CEREC implantée à Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines sur le débit des rivières en Frances (séries chronologiques sous SAS, SPSS) et rédigé en anglais.

Table of Contents [Downlod the rapport]

1 Introduction
1.1 Aims and objectives
1.2 Overview of setting
1.2.1 Stream flow literature review
1.2.2 Box and Jenkins literature review
1.2.3 SAS literature review
1.3 Background to the data
1.4 Methodological aspects
1.4.1 Autocorrelation
1.4.2 Partial autocorrelation
1.4.3 Box-Jenkins approach

2 Data exploration
2.1 Codification principal
2.2 First data selection plotted
2.3 Introduction to series used in the analysis referring to Rhone

3 Box-Jenkins model Rhone at Givors
3.1 Stationarity of the series
3.2 Model Fitted Automatically by SAS
3.3 ARIMA (2,1,0)(0,1,1)7 NOINT on original series
3.4 Log transformation

4 Conclusion
4.1 Discussion of results
4.2 Further development
4.3 Client contact
4.4 Critical discussion of own work and value added